Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 18?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 19, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.4K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 19, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 19 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.5%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 16 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2025 to 19 Aug 2025, the highest close was 28.5% on 19 Aug 2025 and the lowest 17.5% on 17 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 17.5% on 17 Aug 2025. $2.42K traded over the market's life.

5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 1:00 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 16 Aug 2025 – 19 Aug 2025, chart shows 15%–35%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
16 Aug 2025	27.5%
19 Aug 2025	28.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.51K
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	212
Antiman	Yes	21.09
Bright Signal 14DE	Yes	6

5 of 5 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.