Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 27 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2025 to 28 Feb 2025, the highest close was 12.5% on 27 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 0.1% on 28 Feb 2025. $3.03K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 28, 11:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Feb 2025 – 28 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2025 | 12.5% |
| 28 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jcmilan05 | Yes | 56.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a press conference with UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer on February 27, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any recorded Q&A or statements preceding the main press conference where both Donald Trump and Starmer are present, as well as any Q&A that is part of the main event, will count toward the resolution of this market. After the main event and possible attached Q&A have ended, this market will resolve. The resolution source will be video of the press conference.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-starmer-presser-february-27
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