Will Donald Trump say "Trans" during Super Bowl pregame interview?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 10, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$327.9K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 10, 2025 UTC

Topic roomNFL Trump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 10 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 25% on 6 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2025 to 10 Feb 2025, the highest close was 25% on 6 Feb 2025 and the lowest 1.6% on 10 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 1.6% on 10 Feb 2025. $327.94K traded over the market's life.

4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 11, 6:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 6 Feb 2025 – 10 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 Feb 2025	25.0%
10 Feb 2025	1.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Loonza	Yes	38.93
Advanced-Quote	No	31.24
BigSeal	Yes	0.01

4 of 4 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will not count. This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.