Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 17%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 19 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2024 to 21 Sep 2024, the highest close was 27% on 20 Sep 2024 and the lowest 17% on 21 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 17% on 21 Sep 2024. $31.84K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Sep 22, 7:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 19 Sep 2024 – 21 Sep 2024, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2024 | 26.5% |
| 21 Sep 2024 | 17.0% |
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Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 21 in Wilmington, North Carolina. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "MAGA" and/or "make America great again" 4 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "MAGA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to making America great again (e.g. "MAGA-themed" counts). If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 21, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-rally
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