Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 4 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 25.5% on 4 Mar 2025 and the low 12% on 6 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 13% on 5 Mar 2025. $7.94K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 10:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 4 Mar 2025 – 7 Mar 2025, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2025 | 25.5% |
| 7 Mar 2025 | 13.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dddddddddddddddd | Yes | 64.29 |
| frnrzt | Yes | 20 |
| akl-4ibm | No | 0.02 |
| degens9 | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks at a White House Crypto Summit on March 7, 2025. You can read more about that summit here: https://thehill.com/policy/technology/5171305-white-house-to-host-first-crypto-summit/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his main speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-crypto-summit-on-friday
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