Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 45%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 26 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2024 to 28 Sep 2024, the highest close was 62.5% on 27 Sep 2024 and the lowest 45% on 28 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 45% on 28 Sep 2024. $31.81K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 1:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 26 Sep 2024 – 28 Sep 2024, chart shows 40%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2024 | 49.5% |
| 28 Sep 2024 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump has scheduled to hold a town hall on September 27 in Warren, Michigan (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-host-a-townhall-in-warren-michigan). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Get out and vote" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 27, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-michigan-town-hall
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