Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 66% on 17 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2024 to 18 Sep 2024, the highest close was 100% on 18 Sep 2024 and the lowest 66% on 17 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 100% on 18 Sep 2024. $51.1K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Sep 2024 – 18 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2024 | 66.0% |
| 18 Sep 2024 | 100.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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Donald Trump has scheduled a town hall to be held on September 17 in Flint, Michigan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "China" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "China" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the East Asian country named the People's Republic of China. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 17, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-michigan-rally
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