Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20% on 30 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Aug 2024 to 31 Aug 2024, the highest close was 20% on 30 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 0.1% on 31 Aug 2024. $42.38K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Aug 2024 – 31 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2024 | 20.0% |
| 31 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabaVanga-851 | No | 0.02 |
| TheAmericanPsycho | No | 0.01 |
| WilliamAckman | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to host a rally in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, scheduled for Friday, August 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 25 or more times during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to belonging to a political boundary between nations. If this candidate does not give a speech at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond August 30, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-rally
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
