Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74.5%. Yes opened at 63.5% on 3 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 3 Jun 2025 to 5 Jun 2025, the highest close was 76% on 4 Jun 2025 and the lowest 63.5% on 3 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 76% on 4 Jun 2025. $10.88K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 7, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 3 Jun 2025 – 5 Jun 2025, chart shows 60%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jun 2025 | 63.5% |
| 5 Jun 2025 | 74.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Neon Lynx DB66 | No | 830 |
| 123a123a | No | 713.65 |
| Golden Ledger 8581 | No | 645 |
| KimbalMusk | No | 535.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in Bilateral events with the Chancellor of Germany, Friedrich Merz, on June 5, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/white-house/3427809/trump-to-meet-merz-white-house-next-week/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by June 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the scheduled Bilateral Meeting and/or Press Conference with the Chancellor of Germany events (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). If a Bilateral Lunch is scheduled and broadcast, it will also qualify toward this market's resolution. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-merz-events-on-june-5
| tooheavytolift | No | 393 |
| Silver Beacon BC5E | No | 305 |
| Misty Beacon C295 | No | 170 |
| Indigo Summit 262B | No | 15 |
| Indigo Vector 1F1B | No | 10 |
| Randomcarebears | No | 10 |
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