Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91%. Yes opened at 89% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 1 May 2026 to 4 May 2026, the highest close was 91% on 4 May 2026 and the lowest 89% on 1 May 2026. $16.67K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 3:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 1 May 2026 – 4 May 2026, chart shows 84%–96%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 89.0% |
| 4 May 2026 | 91.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | No | 2K |
| testknow | No | 300 |
| kiddddddd | No | 128.9 |
| Moral-Harp | No | 125 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-312
| Angry-Pocketbook | No | 111.11 |
| Admirable-Soprano | No | 88.22 |
| Roycsh | No | 71.43 |
| Anguished-Hull | No | 55.56 |
| muramasa | No | 50 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
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