Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 81%. Yes opened at 89% on 18 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2026 to 30 Apr 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91.5% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 81% on 30 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 81% on 30 Apr 2026. $16.07K traded over the market's life.
89 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 3:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 30 Apr 2026, chart shows 75%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 89.0% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | 81.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Berna88 | No | 1.08K |
| ketomaster | No | 1.04K |
| Kleszcz | No | 509.82 |
| Gullible-Bootie | No | 256.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on
| estrume | No | 249.25 |
| testknow | No | 223.3 |
| hoooooooooold | No | 203.28 |
| Tricky-Tea | No | 150.48 |
| mnkybusiness | No | 108.06 |
| sonnyalways | No | 103.84 |
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