Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 96.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 2 Jul 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 96.5% on 30 Jun 2026. $22.09K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 3:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 2 Jul 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 96.5% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Coldonn101 | No | 2.73K |
| Skinny-Cyclamen-Discount | No | 1.16K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 1.1K |
| Peter.YF | No | 750 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-july-31-20260626210612709
| Unwelcome-Sanctity | No | 379.75 |
| crazydent | No | 366.89 |
| Cute-Vane | No | 227.27 |
| Bruce0202 | No | 227.27 |
| Darling-Champagne | No | 200.96 |
| Predict90 | No | 177.29 |
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