Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 2 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2025 to 5 Aug 2025, the highest close was 80.5% on 24 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 80.5% on 24 Jul 2025. $1.58K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 6, 8:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 2 Jul 2025 – 5 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2025 | 50.0% |
| 5 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.67M |
| Mountainous-Economics | Yes | 314 |
| Cosmic Raven 2AF8 | Yes | 29.17 |
| Oleg1993 | Yes | 21.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according the number of executive orders signed by Donald Trump in July 2025. Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-executive-orders-will-trump-sign-in-july
| tyl88 | Yes | 19.99 |
| Scar3krow | Yes | 15.64 |
| HurdyGurdy | Yes | 11.39 |
| siegfried | Yes | 11.11 |
| NoeGordy | Yes | 3.85 |
| Skeptixwonderer | Yes | 2.63 |
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