
Resolved No on 28 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 24 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2025 to 28 Jan 2025, the highest close was 58.5% on 27 Jan 2025 and the lowest 29.5% on 28 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 29.5% on 28 Jan 2025. $24.37K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 29, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 24 Jan 2025 – 28 Jan 2025, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2025 | 37.5% |
| 28 Jan 2025 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.92K |
| evgeniifedorov45 | Yes | 1K |
| NetherlandsBoss | Yes | 49.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of executive orders Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between January 20 and January 27, 2025. The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates between January 20-27, (inclusive) will count for this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-executive-orders-will-trump-issue-in-his-first-week-lower-options
| Yes |
| 1.44 |
| antoshkavlasio | Yes | 0 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page