Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 21 Jul 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 18 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 21 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 13.5% on 20 Jul 2026. $10.15K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 3:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 21 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 48.5% |
| 21 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CosmicCedar | Yes | 2K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.92K |
| Capital-Aardvark | Yes | 350.26 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the number of times Donald Trump is shown on-screen, between game kickoff and the final whistle, during the official broadcast of the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final on FOX. "Times" refers to discrete instances where Donald Trump is clearly visible. These instances must be separated by shots where Donald Trump is not clearly visible on screen. If this game is cancelled or postponed past July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only live appearances count (commercials and videos recorded in the past won't count). The primary resolution source for this market will be the official FOX broadcast of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-final-trump-appearances-on-broadcast-20260716222408330
| prbot | Yes | 34.21 |
| ultimit | Yes | 25.42 |
| LasourceX | Yes | 23.08 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| weatherlover21 | Yes | 10 |
| Tzukrim | Yes | 8.33 |
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