Analytics
Resolved No on 31 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4% on 24 Jan 2023. Before it settled, across the 116 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2023 to 31 May 2023 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 4% on 24 Jan 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 May 2023. $768.35K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 7:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 116 points, 24 Jan 2023 – 31 May 2023, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2023 | 4.0% |
| 31 May 2023 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| QQQ777 | Yes | 369.64K |
| Cobalt Maven 0391 | Yes | 312.79K |
| Villainous-Newsletter | Yes | 1.67K |
This is a market on if Donald Trump will be President of the United States on May 31, 2023, 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, on the resolution date, Donald Trump is the current President of the United States, officially substantiated by official US government sources, like the links provided as the resolution source. If, for any reason, Donald Trump is not the sitting President of the United States on that date/time, this market will resolve to “No". The resolution sources are: 1. https://www.loc.gov/rr/print/list/057_chron.html, 2. https://history.house.gov/Institution/Presidents-Coinciding/Presidents-Coinciding/ and 3. https://www.whitehouse.gov/. If any of these 3 sources list Donald Trump officially as the current sitting president on the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-be-president-of-the-usa-on
| No |
| 102.04 |
| Posh-Mezzanine | Yes | 25 |
| Ivory Summit 79EC | Yes | 15.51 |
| Unwitting-Fiber | No | 15.15 |
| New-Consulate | No | 10.2 |
| Bright Raven 0B03 | No | 1.02 |
| Favorite-Colonial | No | 1.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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