Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.8% on 29 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 98 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2024 to 4 Jul 2024, the highest close was 2.8% on 29 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 Jul 2024. $123.5K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 6:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 98 points, 29 Mar 2024 – 4 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2024 | 2.8% |
| 4 Jul 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Troomp.com | Yes | 28.57 |
| dexsr4esxz | Yes | 20 |
| elPolloLoco | No | 0.52 |
This is a market on if Donald Trump will be President of the United States on July 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, on the resolution date, Donald Trump is the current President of the United States, officially substantiated by official US government sources, like the links provided as the resolution source. If, for any reason, Donald Trump is not the sitting President of the United States on that date/time, this market will resolve to “No". The resolution sources are: 1. https://www.loc.gov/rr/print/list/057_chron.html, 2. https://history.house.gov/Institution/Presidents-Coinciding/Presidents-Coinciding/ and 3. https://www.whitehouse.gov/. If any of these 3 sources list Donald Trump officially as the current sitting president on the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-be-president-of-the-usa-on
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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