Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 13 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 111 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2023 to 31 Jan 2024, the highest close was 2.5% on 14 Oct 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Jan 2024. $116.79K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 31, 7:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 111 points, 13 Oct 2023 – 31 Jan 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2023 | 2.1% |
| 31 Jan 2024 | 0.4% |
This is a market on if Donald Trump will be President of the United States on January 31, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, on the resolution date, Donald Trump is the current President of the United States, officially substantiated by official US government sources, like the links provided as the resolution source. If, for any reason, Donald Trump is not the sitting President of the United States on that date/time, this market will resolve to “No". The resolution sources are: 1. https://www.loc.gov/rr/print/list/057_chron.html, 2. https://history.house.gov/Institution/Presidents-Coinciding/Presidents-Coinciding/ and 3. https://www.whitehouse.gov/. If any of these 3 sources list Donald Trump officially as the current sitting president on the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-be-president-of-the-usa-on
| Yes |
| 315 |
| Rizty | Yes | 264.54 |
| Cefri | Yes | 195.26 |
| barbjack | Yes | 76.92 |
| MdMikaeel | Yes | 0.09 |
| GoFunkYourself | Yes | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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