Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.3% on 27 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 95 daily closes on record from 27 Jan 2024 to 30 Apr 2024, the highest close was 3.3% on 29 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Apr 2024. $134.09K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 95 points, 27 Jan 2024 – 30 Apr 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2024 | 1.3% |
| 30 Apr 2024 | 0.1% |
This is a market on if Donald Trump will be President of the United States on April 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, on the resolution date, Donald Trump is the current President of the United States, officially substantiated by official US government sources, like the links provided as the resolution source. If, for any reason, Donald Trump is not the sitting President of the United States on that date/time, this market will resolve to “No". The resolution sources are: 1. https://www.loc.gov/rr/print/list/057_chron.html, 2. https://history.house.gov/Institution/Presidents-Coinciding/Presidents-Coinciding/ and 3. https://www.whitehouse.gov/. If any of these 3 sources list Donald Trump officially as the current sitting president on the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-be-president-of-the-usa-on
| Yes |
| 44.83 |
| petalsix | Yes | 35.71 |
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