Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 14 Jan 2026, the highest close was 42.5% on 3 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 14 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 5% on 4 Jan 2026. $8.55K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 7:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 14 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | 42.5% |
| 14 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 55.78K |
| products | Yes | 5.46K |
| rated | Yes | 2.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) on which the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made on a listed date, will also resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If no qualifying announcement is made by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by Jan 31”. The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-trump-announce-fed-chair-nominee
| Yes |
| 2.1K |
| paspor | Yes | 1.53K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 1.13K |
| Qpllll | Yes | 1K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 963.88 |
| NoMoreMister | Yes | 614.47 |
| 13klklas | Yes | 255 |
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