Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 9 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 27% on 11 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 27% on 11 Dec 2025. $13.86K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 7:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 9 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 11.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| icon90 | Yes | 1.45K |
| lilwolf | Yes | 801.53 |
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement within this market’s timeframe from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-fed-chair-nominee-by
| Yes |
| 379 |
| Misty Harbor 5B25 | Yes | 266 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 204 |
| Coral Tide D414 | Yes | 197 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 184 |
| Emerald Raven 4C56 | Yes | 175 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
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