Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Nov 2025.
$17.34K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 15, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 13 Nov 2025, chart shows 58%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 64.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.62K |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 762 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 555 |
| AlexPro | Yes | 223.47 |
| pyridin | Yes | 183.65 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 156 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 143 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 141 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 60 |
| Merlot | Yes | 60 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald and Melania Trump are set to host an executive order signing event on November 13, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where either Donald or Melania Trump are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the scheduled executive order signing event featuring both Donald Trump and Melania Trump on the specified date (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this named, scheduled event, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled by Donald or Melania Trump, or otherwise is not aired by November 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wMMI59BmzuA
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-or-melania-say-during-the-executive-order-signing-on-november-13
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