Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 52.5% on 3 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 17.5% on 4 Dec 2025. $12.74K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 31 points · 3 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 52.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 2.18K |
| tailevent | Yes | 599.74 |
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes | 429.93 |
| RRost | Yes | 381.53 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 305.98 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 253.79 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 206.98 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 191 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 132 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 71 |
