Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 49% on 2 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49% on 2 Aug 2025 and the low 0.2% on 21 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 25% on 3 Aug 2025. $8.41K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 12:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 2 Aug 2025 – 1 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2025 | 49.0% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.77K |
| Purpleface | Yes | 999.71 |
| MarketCrash | Yes | 489.61 |
| Koorosh13 | Yes | 200 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 107.67 |
| Well-Off-Podcast | Yes | 76.9 |
| Anjun | Yes | 48.09 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 34.97 |
| userjj | Yes | 26.32 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 14 |
