Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 60% on 11 Dec 2025 and the low 0.2% on 12 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 60 points down, to 0.2% on 12 Dec 2025. $11.83K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 13, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 10 points · 3 Dec 2025 – 12 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 12 Dec 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.35K |
| eyyyysdeeefff | Yes | 154.73 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| mrskee | Yes | 83.68 |
| L0VELY | Yes | 62.75 |
| Azure Voyager 2F16 | Yes | 50 |
| RonaldTrujillo6898 | Yes | 34 |
| pakmee | Yes | 33.33 |
| AustinJones6318 | Yes | 27 |
| Mrul1 | Yes | 26.77 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Sentencing for Do Kwon’s cryptocurrency fraud case is scheduled for December 11, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/do-kwon-pleads-guilty-us-fraud-charges-40-billion-crypto-collapse-2025-08-12/. This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Do Kwon as part of his ongoing federal trial (United States v. Kwon). This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Do Kwon is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Do Kwon is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government or court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/do-kwon-prison-time
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