Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 41%. Yes opened at 68.5% on 7 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 68.5% on 7 Aug 2024 and the low 59% on 10 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 62% on 8 Aug 2024. $49.96K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 11, 8:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 7 Aug 2024 – 10 Aug 2024, chart shows 55%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2024 | 68.5% |
| 10 Aug 2024 | 59.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 430.5 |
| Chuppy89 | Yes | 0.02 |
| MilfYum | Yes | 0.02 |
| DonaldinhoTrumpito | No | 0.02 |
| 0xSloppy | Yes | 0.02 |
| SmartZ | Yes | 0.02 |
| Nikkolas | Yes | 0.02 |
| BiggieChungus | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on predicting the winner of the men's 800 meters race.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/800m-winner-m
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