Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 4 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2025 to 10 Jan 2025, the highest close was 41.5% on 4 Jan 2025 and the lowest 8% on 9 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 11.5% on 5 Jan 2025. $9.74K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 11, 5:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 4 Jan 2025 – 10 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | 41.5% |
| 10 Jan 2025 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.7K |
| popit-950 | Yes | 5 |
| igorek1 | No | 2.53 |
| sanechka | No | 2.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Adrian Dittmann will make between December 3 and January 10.
Resolution source: https://x.com/AdrianDittmann
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/adrian-dittmann-of-tweets-january-3-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
