Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82%. Yes opened at 12% on 9 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 18% on 10 Aug 2024 and the low 12% on 9 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 18% on 10 Aug 2024. $949.15 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 11, 6:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 9 Aug 2024 – 10 Aug 2024 · axis zoomed to 10%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2024 | 12.0% |
| 10 Aug 2024 | 18.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 399.5 |
| Nomis-099 | Yes | 40 |
| MazdaStrip | Yes | 0.05 |
| dCc02 | No | 0.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
1500m Winner (W)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1500m-winner-w
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