Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2025.
$12.93K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 25 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 658 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 515 |
| avl2315 | Yes | 503.75 |
| parnyam67 | Yes | 190 |
| IcyPicy | Yes | 72 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 70 |
| Rouhy- | Yes | 65.51 |
| TnTG | Yes | 33.33 |
| NikeWatcherViveDrahem | Yes | 25 |
| scherlockhomes | Yes | 22.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Diplo's Run Club race at Flushing Meadows Corona Park currently scheduled for October 25 (see: https://diplosrunclub.com/new-york). If Diplo completes the race in under the listed time this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is permanently canceled or otherwise has not been completed by November 1, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Diplo's official race time based on the BibTag System used for the event and published by Diplo's Run Club. Information on Diplo's past workouts can be found here: https://www.strava.com/athletes/25852638 Recent run times: Philly - 3.1 miles / 21:18 / pace: 6:52 Seattle - 3.1 miles / 22:21 / pace: 7:12 San Francisco - 2.88 miles / 19:27 / pace: 6:45 LA - 3.1 miles / 26:55 / pace: 8:40
Resolution source: twitch.tv/majorlazer
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-fast-will-diplo-run-5k
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