Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 13 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 145 daily closes on record from 13 May 2025 to 4 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50% on 13 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 16% on 14 May 2025. $232.19K traded over the market's life.
65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 12:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 145 points, 13 May 2025 – 4 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2025 | 50.0% |
| 4 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 38.12K |
| Cultured-Giggle | Yes | 3.93K |
| IIIlllIIIIIllllIIIIl | Yes | 1.21K |
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Sean "Diddy" Combs as part of his ongoing federal trial (United States of America v. Sean Combs, Case No. 1:24-cr-00542) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Combs is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government or court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/diddy-prison-time
| Kitoniteiku | Yes | 1.18K |
| InvestCur | Yes | 1.01K |
| Bruised-Subway | Yes | 1K |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 967.31 |
| SuguruGojo | Yes | 833.33 |
| Humblekid | Yes | 684 |
| Gamblingaddicteddr | Yes | 670.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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