Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 38% on 21 Apr 2023. Before it settled, across the 70 daily closes on record from 21 Apr 2023 to 2 Jul 2023 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 38% on 21 Apr 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 2 Jul 2023. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 25% on 22 Apr 2023. $11.61K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 70 points, 21 Apr 2023 – 2 Jul 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Apr 2023 | 38.0% |
| 2 Jul 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Plain-Pilot | Yes | 1.24K |
| Zolo | Yes | 57.76 |
| Chubby-Lipid | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if and only if Dianne Feinstein resigns from her seat as United States Senator from California by July 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only Dianne Feinstein resigning will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - e.g. if she is expelled and does not resign, it will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." This market will resolve according to official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-dianne-feinstein-resign-by-july-1
| Yes |
| 45 |
| Easy-Going-Raisin | No | 1.54 |
| momoson | Yes | 0.73 |
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