Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.3%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 22 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 47.5% on 22 Nov 2025 and the low 1.7% on 26 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 12% on 25 Nov 2025. $3.54K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 27, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 36 points · 22 Nov 2025 – 26 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | 47.5% |
| 26 Dec 2025 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 390 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 366 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 235 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 188 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the National Weather Service records a snowfall observed value of at least .5 inches for the listed city on December 25, 2025. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park NY (New York City), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), St. Louis, MO (St. Louis), Philadelphia, PA (Philadelphia), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Boston-Logan Airport (Boston), Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (Dallas), Miami, FL (Miami), Downtown San Francisco (San Francisco), Seattle-Tacoma, WA (Seattle), and Washington-National (Washington D.C.). The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-have-a-white-christmas
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 180 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 120 |
| Michael-Scott | Yes | 70 |
| Ebnls | Yes | 51.13 |
| Kreww | Yes | 47.41 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 14.99 |
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