Analytics
Yes is at 14.5%, down 36 points from 50% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 47 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57.5% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 11% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 25%; a month before, 36.5%. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 53% on 8 Oct 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27)”.
$1.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $615.94, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 25 trades, $149.93 bought Yes and $418.28 bought No.
The largest Yes position is TypeShi with 193 shares; the largest No position is extractive-manatee with 380.
Trading closes on 14 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| extractive-manatee | No | 380 |
| TypeShi | Yes | 193.33 |
| MaciBetting23 | Yes | 111.64 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from UEFA Nations League A at the conclusion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League through their final standing in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League A league phase, via promotion/relegation play-off defeat, or by any other official decision recognized by UEFA. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after April 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-a-teams-relegated-2026-27
4 more markets, none above 2.5%.
| 0x3BcCwgou83vSbjf3avwh3gF3a93cAgD2gG9 |
| Yes |
| 88.8 |
| leurop0 | No | 58.05 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 54.7 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| Fluo | No | 20 |
| test-mention | No | 20 |
| UpTheStairs | Yes | 6.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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