Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 9 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 26% on 12 Sep 2025 and the low 16% on 14 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 16% on 14 Sep 2025. $78.29K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 17, 12:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 9 Sep 2025 – 15 Sep 2025 · axis zoomed to 10%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2025 | 25.5% |
| 15 Sep 2025 | 21.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.3K |
| 854A7843 | Yes | 9.6K |
| MagicEightBall | Yes | 1.32K |
| anonymousamerica | Yes | 505.23 |
| RandomInternetPerson | Yes | 333 |
| collectorr | Yes | 200 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 179.47 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 100 |
| lotuseater | Yes | 70 |
| Apt-Barracks | Yes | 40 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to how much “Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 12 - September 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by September 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/demon-slayer-opening-weekend-box-office-432
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