Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 13% on 4 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2024 to 6 Jul 2024, the highest close was 13% on 4 Jul 2024 and the lowest 2.5% on 6 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 6% on 5 Jul 2024. $26.7K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 7, 2:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Jul 2024 – 6 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 13.0% |
| 6 Jul 2024 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| buffguyincrypto | Yes | 666.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 10 or more Democratic members of the US House and/or Senate sign on to any letter calling on Joe Biden to withdraw from the 2024 US presidential race by July 5, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be any such letter once it is released to the public.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-democrats-publish-letter-asking-biden-to-drop-out
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