Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 18% on 20 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2024 to 6 Aug 2024, the highest close was 18% on 20 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 3.5% on 21 Jul 2024. $144.17K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 9:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 20 Jul 2024 – 6 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2024 | 18.0% |
| 6 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 77.16K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if no candidate is formally nominated by the Democratic National Committee as the Democratic presidential candidate by August 22, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be official announcements from the Democratic National Committee however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used .
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-democrats-nominate-presidential-candidate
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
