Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 58% on 6 Jun 2023. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2023 to 15 Jul 2023, the highest close was 99.5% on 6 Jul 2023 and the lowest 47% on 25 Jun 2023. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 80.5% on 8 Jun 2023. $4.53K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 7:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 6 Jun 2023 – 15 Jul 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2023 | 58.0% |
| 15 Jul 2023 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Falcon D273 | No | 257.73K |
| Last-Coffee | No | 746.06 |
| Healthy-Harpooner | No | 214.48 |
| Welbeast | Yes | 79.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether Declan Rice will sign for Arsenal in the Summer transfer window, which closes on September 1, 2023. This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Rice has signed for Arsenal during the transfer window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a club announces that Rice has signed with them but later retracts that announcement, this market will resolve according to the initial announcement. This market's resolution source will be official, credible announcements from either West Ham United or the signing club.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-declan-rice-sign-for-arsenal
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