Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 191 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 10 Jun 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32.5% on 25 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 5% on 26 Nov 2025. $11.7K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 10, 3:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 191 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 10 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 32.5% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.14K |
| tamalaile | Yes | 800 |
| Bright Pioneer 27D0 | Yes | 500 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-place-first-in-the-primary-for-nancy-pelosis-congressional-seat-ca-11
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 341.35 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 308.98 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 202.58 |
| 5-min | Yes | 200 |
| 2027tomoon | Yes | 200 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 177.38 |
| Popular-Author | Yes | 142.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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