Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.5%. Yes opened at 40% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 74.5% on 9 Feb 2026 and the low 6.5% on 24 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 37% on 5 Jan 2026. $150.58K traded over the market's life.
114 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 25, 2:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 153 points · 3 Jan 2026 – 24 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | 40.0% |
| 24 Jun 2026 | 6.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 84.09K |
| impliedbelief | Yes | 9.7K |
| FTXrisk | Yes | 5.85K |
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-draft-1st-overall-pick
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 4.53K |
| charlito11 | Yes | 3.03K |
| Forecastication2 | Yes | 2.08K |
| Detailed-Conductor-Sand | Yes | 1.63K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 1.16K |
| 21crumbs | Yes | 930.97 |
| Ecgc1010 | Yes | 862.47 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
