Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 2 May 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 9 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 49% on 29 Apr 2026. $100.97 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 4:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 2 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 38.5% |
| 2 May 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| addyxko | Yes | 2.56 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 2.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dantes receives a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect. For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count. The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-dantes-receive-a-twitch-ban-by-may-1-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
