Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80.5%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 4 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 23.5% on 5 Dec 2024 and the low 9% on 6 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 9% on 6 Dec 2024. $20.2K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 10, 8:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 4 Dec 2024 – 9 Dec 2024, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2024 | 20.5% |
| 9 Dec 2024 | 19.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.13K |
| tjasxzn | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Penny is sentenced to spend less than 5 years in custody of a jail or prison, as part of his ongoing New York Court trial by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If Penny is found not guilty, these is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentencing takes place by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/daniel-penny-prison-time-1
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