Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 49% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49% on 1 Aug 2026 and the low 3% on 6 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 24.5% on 2 Aug 2026. $669.84 traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 16 points · 1 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 16 Aug 2026 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.32K |
| GamblingAddict12345 | Yes | 155.77 |
| Notradecopy | Yes | 112.5 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 102.11 |
| graynotebook19 | Yes | 69 |
| smallreceipt | Yes | 67 |
| balthazar | Yes | 50 |
| mildwindow27 | Yes | 46 |
| northdrawer | Yes | 41.31 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 38.96 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the winner of the men's singles title at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, currently scheduled for August 11 to August 23, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cincinnati-open-winner-20260729185627610
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