Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 14 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 30.5% on 14 Dec 2025 and the low 0.4% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 9% on 15 Dec 2025. $4.24K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 51 points · 14 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | 30.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ProbablyPomPom | Yes | 250 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 77.59 |
| kolyantrend | Yes | 21 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dan Crenshaw initiates a lawsuit against Shawn Ryan by January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-dan-crenshaw-sue-shawn-ryan-by-jan-31
| eppixx | Yes | 10 |
| gamblingcrocodile | Yes | 5 |
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