Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 49% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 25 Jun 2026, the highest close was 76% on 3 May 2026 and the lowest 20.5% on 19 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 20.5% on 19 Jun 2026. $101.66K traded over the market's life.
75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 26, 4:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 25 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 49.0% |
| 25 Jun 2026 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| irmants | Yes | 5.73K |
| ipmy55 | Yes | 3.55K |
| ArturitoFilito | Yes | 3.43K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-team-to-advance-to-knockout-stages
| Yes |
| 2K |
| MaciBetting23 | Yes | 1.8K |
| Nicksypoo | Yes | 845.21 |
| GamblingAddict12345 | Yes | 824.23 |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 643.97 |
| laserjohnny | Yes | 599.99 |
| kokotyy69 | Yes | 416 |
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