Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 31% on 28 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2023 to 1 May 2023 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 31% on 28 Mar 2023 and the lowest 1.5% on 24 Apr 2023. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 18% on 29 Mar 2023. $22.26K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 6:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 28 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2023 | 31.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cyklofasista | Yes | 446.64 |
| Uncommon-Dinghy | No | 50.51 |
| Whale | Yes | 25 |
| Plain-Constitution | Yes | 2.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if co-founder of Binance Changpeng Zhao (CZ) is arrested by April 30, 2023 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however official information from the governments involved in any action against CZ and information from CZ's and Binance's legal representatives will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-cz-be-arrested-by-april-30
| Ironclad-News | No | 1.11 |
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