Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 18% on 2 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2023 to 16 Aug 2023, the highest close was 18% on 2 Aug 2023 and the lowest 0.2% on 16 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 5.5% on 3 Aug 2023. $19.33K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 1:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 2 Aug 2023 – 16 Aug 2023, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2023 | 18.0% |
| 16 Aug 2023 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Moneky | Yes | 609.64 |
| edweirdo | Yes | 200 |
| 005 | Yes | 100 |
| Cortez-spider | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any part of Curve founder Michael Egorov’s multi-million dollar position on Aave and/or Fraxlend is forcibly liquidated by August 15, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-curves-founder-get-liquidated
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