Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 25% on 25 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 69 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 50% on 10 Nov 2023 and the lowest 6.5% on 22 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 50% on 8 Dec 2023. $509.62 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 7:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 69 points, 25 Oct 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2023 | 25.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 793joel | Yes | 13.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On Oct 24, 2023 the California DMV announced they had suspended Cruise’s driverless taxis in SF, citing safety concerns (see https://x.com/Cruise/status/1716877217995894934?s=20). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cruise relaunches its driverless taxi operations in San Francisco by Dec 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “relaunch” requires Cruise to resume driverless operations in San Francisco, and does not include mere tests and demonstrations. The resolution source will be information from Cruise, in addition to credible media reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-cruise-relaunch-driverless-taxis-in-sf-by-eoy
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