Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88%. Yes opened at 49% on 17 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49% on 17 May 2026 and the low 12% on 3 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 13.5% on 22 May 2026. $3.99K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 4, 8:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 18 points · 17 May 2026 – 3 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | 49.0% |
| 3 Jun 2026 | 12.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 10 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 4.99 |
| simmyy | Yes | 2.92 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CrowdStrike's net new ARR for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is CrowdStrike's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-crowdstrike-q1-net-new-arr-be-above
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