Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 3% on 8 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 8 Jun 2026 to 3 Jul 2026, the highest close was 3.6% on 12 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 2 Jul 2026. $3.95K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 1:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 8 Jun 2026 – 3 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2026 | 3.0% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.68K |
| balthazar | Yes | 299.12 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 148.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Croatia is eliminated. If Croatia wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Croatia is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Croatia based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com/en/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-croatia-stage-of-elimination
| barbica | Yes | 127.97 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Ivory Scout A8F5 | Yes | 30 |
| Insidious-Maelstrom | Yes | 15.44 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 12 |
| overlooked | Yes | 10.19 |
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