Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 4 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2026 to 6 Jul 2026, the highest close was 46.5% on 17 Jun 2026 and the lowest 9% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 10.5% on 5 Jul 2026. $24.53K traded over the market's life.
103 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 7, 9:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 4 Jun 2026 – 6 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2026 | 43.5% |
| 6 Jul 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.84K |
| Riemer | Yes | 822.58 |
| redlioneye | Yes | 614.9 |
| vaccarias | Yes | 592.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the participating player whose nation advances to the latest stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If multiple players' nations are tied for the furthest stage reached in the tournament, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose nation won the most total games during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who recorded the most goal contributions during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who received fewer total disciplinary cards during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (each card counts as a singular event, double yellows resulting in red still count as two cards). If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player’s nation to be the furthest to advance in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which player’s nation advanced the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-messi-ronaldo-or-neymar-advance-furthest-in-the-world-cup
| djokowin | Yes | 542.79 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 477.41 |
| interboys | Yes | 380.67 |
| CriolloMan | Yes | 265.23 |
| gertrudeee | Yes | 241.9 |
| Ivory Pulse BF01 | Yes | 195.88 |
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